Michigan frost dates

Planting Guides for Michigan. This is your list of cities in Michigan. Michigan has a range of climates spanning from as cold as Zone 4a to as warm as Zone 6b. If the city you are looking for is not in this list you can view the zone map for Michigan to get a good idea of the zones in your area, and then click on one of the zone links below.

Michigan frost dates. The last spring frost date has moved up by as much as 30 days in Arizona and California as a result. The regional climate center predicts Michigan's median last spring frost will be on April 21.

You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 5. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 14. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.

Table 1. Dates of first freezing temperatures (32 F or less) in the fall season at selected sites in and near Michigan, 1981-2018. The dates at each site are presented for selected percentiles based on empirical observations: first and last observations, and 10th, 30th, 50th (median or normal), 70th and 90th percentiles.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.The average depth of the frost line in Iowa is 58 inches. In the northern part of the state, the frost line can be up to 70 inches deep, while in the southern part the line may be ...The date frost laws go into effect annually is determined by local road officials based on the current conditions. Often, in the Michigan county in which I reside, this occurs on March 1. This year, with our prolonged winter, county frost laws did not go into effect until March 17.Sep 23. Sep 25. Sep 28. Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 10. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Grand Rapids, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...Aug 19. Aug 24. Aug 28. Aug 31. Sep 4. Sep 8. Sep 12. Sep 19. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Rose City, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!The frost line depth for most of Michigan is 42 inches. This is the depth at which groundwater present in the soil freezes. Though this is the standard depth, other factors play a ...Frost or Freeze. Frost occurs when the temperature reaches 32 degrees Fahrenheit or below and water vapor freezes on a surface. It usually occurs on a clear night when heat radiates up from the ground. Tiny ice crystals form when water vapor condenses. Similar to dew, the temperature at ground level is the key.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Allen Park, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 24 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.You can find plants that are hardy in your region by inputting your zip code into My Garden Life’s USDA Zone Finder. Use the map to locate a desired region and match it to the corresponding color in the …A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...

As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for East Jordan, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 10, and by October 4 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...The date frost laws go into effect annually is determined by local road officials based on the current conditions. Often, in the Michigan county in which I reside, this occurs on March 1. This year, with our prolonged winter, county frost laws did not go into effect until March 17.Sep 18. Sep 20. Sep 22. Sep 24. Sep 26. Sep 29. Oct 3. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Battle Creek, MI to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!Sep 23. Sep 25. Sep 28. Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 10. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Grand Rapids, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.

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As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Southgate, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 24 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.Oct 6. Oct 8. Oct 11. Oct 14. Oct 18. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Shelby Township, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!Click the dots to see the average date on which the chance of freezing temperatures drops below 50 percent across the United States, based on the U.S. Climate Normals from 1991–2020. (Launch the map in its own window.)Places where that date occurs near the official start of spring are colored white. Places where the last freezing …A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. First Fall Frost. Growing Season. EAST LANSING 4 S, MI. 879'. May 4. Oct 11. 159 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA.

Aug 24. Aug 28. Aug 31. Sep 4. Sep 8. Sep 13. Sep 20. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Ontonagon, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!An interactive map of average last frost dates in michigan and a list of locations in michigan with average last frost dates. In Southern Michigan, The Last Frost Dates Are May 1St To 15, And In. By angela mulka, staff writerfeb 1, 2024.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Sparta, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 16 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 3. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 11. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.See the average first and last frost dates for locations across the U.S. and Canada with our frost dates calculator. Simply enter your postal code to see when the last spring frost date and first fall frost date typically occur in your area. Knowing local frost dates can improve your gardening by giving you an idea of when to start seeds indoors and outdoors, when to transplant, and when to ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 15. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 23. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 1. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Sterling, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 8, and by October 8 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...Michigan is one of the fastest growing states in terms of solar adoption. Check out this review of the best solar companies in Michigan to learn more. Expert Advice On Improving Yo...

Welcome to FrostDate.com! You have the internet's largest collection of last frost dates by city. You also have guides for planting each plant in your city, as well as for each zone. Start by choosing your state from the list below. Or you can choose your USDA Zone from the list at the bottom of the page. When to plant seeds based on the last ...

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...First Fall Frost. Growing Season. SAGINAW #3, MI. 600'. May 4. Oct 15. 163 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA.Sep 27. Sep 29. Oct 1. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 9. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Kalamazoo, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!Sep 23. Sep 25. Sep 28. Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 7. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Jackson, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 30. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 8. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 16. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Attica, Michigan. How to read these charts for the spring. As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Buchanan, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 5, and by October 29 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.

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You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 15. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 25. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 11. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 21. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.As frost melts beneath a paved road, the roadbed turns wet and spongy because water is trapped between the pavement and the remaining ice layer beneath. ... Date when info was last updated; ... including stewardship of the county road right-of-way in Michigan. Contact us. Address: 101 S. Washington Sq., Ste. 200, Lansing, MI 48933 Phone: 517. ...Want to know when to expect your last frost of the spring, or the first frost of the fall? Enter your zip code (or City, State) below and we'll tell you what we know. Our information is taken directly from the National Weather Service and depending on the location of the reporting station for your zip code, the results may vary. Popular Plants. Sep 25. Sep 28. Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 10. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Howell, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 29. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 5. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. ….

Generally speaking, Grand Rapids' average last frost date is listed at May 27 while just a few miles away, Greenville is listed at June 27! This big swing can also be seen from East to West as Detroit is listed as April 30 for average last frost. Please note the word AVERAGE here ( view statewide table of frost free dates ).Sep 21. Sep 24. Sep 27. Sep 30. Oct 4. Oct 9. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Muskegon, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!First Fall Frost. Growing Season. PORT HURON, MI. 590'. Apr 25. Oct 30. 187 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA.Generally speaking, Grand Rapids' average last frost date is listed at May 27 while just a few miles away, Greenville is listed at June 27! This big swing can also be seen from East to West as Detroit is listed as April 30 for average last frost. Please note the word AVERAGE here ( view statewide table of frost free dates ).You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 11. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 20. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 28. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Twin Lake, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 18 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.Date Calculators. Time and Date Duration – Calculate duration, with both date and time included. Date Calculator – Add or subtract days, months, years. Weekday Calculator – What day is this date? Birthday Calculator – Find when you are 1 billion seconds old. Week Number Calculator – Find the week number for any date. Michigan frost dates, Aug 17. Aug 21. Aug 25. Aug 29. Sep 2. Sep 7. Sep 13. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Harrison, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! , A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 11. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 20. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 28. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., How to read these charts for the fall. As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Menominee, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 20, and by October 13 you're almost certain to have received at least ..., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Oxford, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 5, and by October 15 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., How to read these charts for the fall. As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Ionia, MI start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 18, and by October 14 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost ..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 13. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 24. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 5. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Garden, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 4, and by October 12 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants., First Fall Frost. Growing Season. DUNDEE, MI. 659'. May 2. Oct 15. 165 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA., Compare cheap car insurance in Michigan. WalletHub combined Michigan car insurance quotes so you can compare, shop, and save big on car insurance. WalletHub makes it easy to find t..., Cream cheese frosting is a versatile and delicious topping that can take any dessert to the next level. Before we dive into the best cream cheese frosting recipes, it’s important t..., Oct 1. Oct 3. Oct 5. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 17. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Northville, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, The date frost laws go into effect annually is determined by local road officials based on the current conditions. Often, in the Michigan county in which I reside, this occurs on March 1. This year, with our prolonged winter, county frost laws did not go into effect until March 17., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 19. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 1. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 13. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Linden, Michigan start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 21 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., First Fall Frost. Growing Season. KALKASKA, MI. 1036'. May 30. Sep 24. 116 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA., Frost Dates: First and last frost dates by zipcode. Enter your location below and we will tell you when your average first frost and last frost dates are likely to happen. You can enter a zipcode or a location like City, State. Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Our frost date calculator will tell you ..., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 12. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 22. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 31. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants. , First Fall Frost. Growing Season. MIDLAND, MI. 639'. May 5. Oct 9. 156 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA. , A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., Well, you don’t need a crystal ball to determine when the last frost may cover your newly potted plants. Instead, take a look at our Average Last Date of Spring Freeze map. Values were derived from the 1991–2020 U.S. Climate Normals —a database of 30-year averages of climatological variables, including temperatures., Sep 15. Sep 18. Sep 21. Sep 24. Sep 27. Sep 30. Oct 4. Oct 9. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Ravenna, Michigan to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. , When frost-seeding, use the recommended broadcast seeding rate for the particular crop you are planting. For example: 8 lbs./acre for white clover, 15 lbs./acre for red clover, and 20 to 25 lbs./acre for alfalfa. Cut these rates in half if you are overseeding a thinning plot or bare patches. Don't forget to amend the soil with fertilizer and ..., Michigan State University Extension helps people improve their lives by bringing the vast knowledge resources of MSU directly to individuals, communities and businesses. ... Plant warm season seeds after the danger of frost is past (link to frost dates table), including cucumbers, squash, pumpkins and melons., First Fall Frost. Growing Season. KALAMAZOO BATTLE CK INTL AP, MI. 869'. May 4. Oct 12. 160 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA. , Fortunately, Michigan has developed an online map tool that makes this process much easier! In today’s blog post, we’ll give step-by-step instructions on how to navigate the Michigan Frost Law Map like a pro! Step 1: Access The Official Website. The first thing you need is access to the official website where all information related to snow ..., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., Our frost date calculator will tell you precisely when your garden in Rose City, Michigan is at risk for frost. Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Rose City, …, You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 19. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 1. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 13. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.